What if there were a D1A and D1AA in BBall?

So you have the FB confs in D1A but include the Sun Belt and BE BBall onlies to get to 131 teams. You can then have a 48 team NCAAT. Would that be a good thing? By doing that you eliminate the little guy, and upsets are fun and exciting. But upsets make it easier for the next team they play. Also having a D1A and D1AA, you will get more talent per team. In BBall one guy can make a difference. You can go anywhere you want. However if you split D1A and D1AA would a kid who is choosing between being a career 6th man at SU or a starter for Hofstra pick Hofstra if they are D1AA? Having a split may very well add depth to every D1A team and make games even better.

Edit
I forgot to add that every teams reg season sched would be a lot harder. No more cupcake games. In this case confs would likely play more conf games. The B11 would likely go from 18 to 20. The ACC, SEC, and B12 from 16 to 22. The BE from 18 to 22. The P10 would remain at 18. Even so teams would have to fit in about 10 more OOC games and there are only 131 D1A teams to choose from. So we should see a lot more games between the Big 6 confs.


I made a bracket based on this year. I tried to keep the seedings as close to possible but had to move some teams to different regions to fill in holes. There are 43 D1A teams in this year NCAAT. However I only used 42 of them since both Temple and Akron wouldnt have gotten at larges. Only would could be the MAC champ. I then took the 6 highest seeded NIT teams to fill it in. So here is what it would look like:

	East	South	MW	West
1	Pitt	UNC	UL	Uconn
2	Duke	OU	MSU	Memphis
3	Nova	SU	KU	Missou
4	Wake	Utah	FSU	Wash
5	UCLA	WV	Illinois	Purdue
6	Texas	ASU	BC	Marq
7	LSU	Clemson	Cal	BYU
8	A&M	OSU	Tenn	Okie St
9	Mich	Temple	USC	MD
10	Minn	Wisc	WKU	Utah St
11	Zona	SD St	Fla	Auburn
12	Miss St	PSU	ND	Va Tech

So the Top 4 seeds get 1st round byes. The rest would play as follows:

UCLA/Miss St	WV/PSU	Illinois/ND	Purdue/Va Tech
Texas/Zona	ASU/SD St	BC/Fla	Marq/Auburn
LSU/Minn	Clemson/Wic	Cal/WKU	BYU/Utah St
A&M/Mich	OSU/Temple	Tenn/USC	Okie St/MD

The the potential 2nd round games of:

Pitt/A&M	UNC/OSU	UL/Tenn	Uconn/Okie St
Duke/LSU	OU/Clemson	MSU/Cal	Memphis/BYU
Nova/Texas	SU/ASU	KU/BC	Missou/Marq
Wake/UCLA	Utah/WV	FSU/Illinois	Wash/Purdue

So would this be bad or good for CBBall?

Evaluating the Bracket guys

Getting the number of teams in is easy. Usually the last 3 in or out is all that needs to be chosen. So a monkey should get 62 of 65 each year. What you really are doing is picking 3 of 6 teams to make the field. Not very hard. What is hard is the seeding. Well I posted my bracket earlier, my friend Cuseman made a bracket and we compared to Lunardi and Palm. We awarded 3 points for a correct pick and negative 1 for each seed missed. So if you picked SU as a 3 seed you get 3 points. If you picked SU as a 4 seed you get -1 point. And the winner was....

Palm 52 points
Lunardi 34 points
Cuseman 19 points
King Otto 0 points

Everyone had 64 of 65 teams missing on Zona. King Otto and Cuseman had SD St. Palm St Marys. And Lunardi Creighton. Cuseman put his together from scratch from 5pm to 6pm right before the brackets came. I have made a few brackets the last few weeks. But it isnt my job and I never went into the depth that the "pros" do. Palm beat up on Lunardi. I think we should all stop following the fraud Lunardi and use Palm from now on.

Final Bracket

East
1 Pitt
16 Chattanooga/Bama St

8 A&M
9 Miss St

4 OSU/Purdue winner
13 WKU

5 Utah
12 MD

2 Duke
15 Robert Morris

7 Gonzaga
10 Michigan

3 KU
14 Cornell

6 UCLA
11 Temple

South
1 UNC
16 Morehead St

8 LSU
9 Butler

4 SU
13 Binghamton

5 ASU
12 Siena

2 MSU
15 E Tenn St

7 Clemson
10 Cal

3 Nova
14 Stephen F Austin

6 Okie St
11 Minn

Midwest
1 UL
16 Morgan St

8 Texas
9 BYU

4 Wash
13 American

5 Illinois
12 Cle St

2 OU
15 Radford

7 Xavier
10 BC

3 Wake
14 Akron

6 Tenn
11 Wisc

West
1 Memphis
16 CS Northridge

8 Marq
9 Dayton

4 FSU
13 VCU

5 WV
12 SD St

2 UConn
15 Portland St

7 USC
10 Utah St

3 Missou
14 ND St

6 OSU/Purdue loser
11 No Iowa


Last Six Teams In (last in first)
SD St
MD
Wisc
Minn
BC
Mich

Last Six Out
Zona
St Marys
Creighton
Auburn
Florida
South Carolina

Multi Bid Confs
7 ACC, BE, B11
6 B12
5 P10
3 A10, SEC, MWC
2 Horizon

NCAA Projections

Finding 65 teams is pretty easy this year. But the seedings will be hard.

1	Pittsburgh	North Carolina	Oklahoma	Memphis
16	Morehead St./ Alabama St.	Radford	Morgan St.	CSU Northridge
8	Texas A&M	Brigham Young	LSU	Marquette
9	Ohio St.	Texas	California	Wisconsin
4	UCLA	Tennessee	Syracuse	Missouri
13	American U.	VA Commonwealth	Northern Iowa	Stephen F. Austin
5	Clemson	Illinois	Florida St.	Utah
12	Siena	West. Kentucky	San Diego St.	Maryland
2	Duke	Louisville	Michigan St.	Connecticut
15	Cornell	Charleston	Robert Morris	E. Tennessee St.
7	Dayton	Arizona St.	Gonzaga	Purdue
10	Minnesota	Boston College	South Carolina	Utah St.
3	Villanova	Kansas	Wake Forest	Washington
14	Binghamton	Buffalo	North Dakota St	Weber St.
6	Oklahoma St.	Xavier	West Virginia	Butler
11	Florida	Michigan	Arizona	St. Mary's

By Conf

BE	7
ACC	7
B11	7
B12	6
P10	5
SEC	4
MWC	3
WCC	2
A10	2

Last 6 in (starting with last one in)

Maryland

San Diego St

St Marys

Arizona

Florida

Michigan

Last 12 out

UAB

Creighton

New Mexico

UNLV

USC

Temple

Illinois St.

Davidson

Miami (FL)

Penn St.

Virginia Tech

Northwestern

NCAA Projections

Here is my prediction of the brackets

	East	South	Midwest	West
1	Pittsburgh	North Carolina	Oklahoma	Connecticut
16	Morgan St./Alabama St	Long Beach St.	Tenn-Martin	Virginia Military
8	Oklahoma St.	Texas	Wisconsin	California
9	Dayton	Arizona St.	Utah St.	Texas A&M
4	Utah	Missouri	Villanova	Clemson
13	Miami (OH)	West. Kentucky	George Mason	Davidson
5	Illinois	Xavier	Florida St.	Purdue
12	St. Mary's	Georgetown	UAB	Siena
2	Duke	Michigan St.	Memphis	Kansas
15	Cornell	Robert Morris	North Dakota St	Belmont
7	West Virginia	Gonzaga	Marquette	Brigham Young
10	Creighton	South Carolina	Minnesota	Ohio St.
3	Tennessee	Louisville	Wake Forest	Washington
14	American U.	Stephen F. Austin	Vermont	Weber St.
6	UCLA	LSU	Butler	Syracuse
11	Maryland	Arizona	Florida	Boston College

Last 10 Out

UNLV

Rhode Island

Kentucky

Cincinnati

Miami (FL)

Virginia Tech

USC

Providence

Michigan

Penn St.

By Conf
BE 8
ACC 7
B11 6
B12 6
P10 5
SEC 4

KOR Value

Since I forgot Opp's Opp Win % these are flawed. It helps smaller schools to have a higher ranking. And thus this will be my last ranking for this year. Hopefully next year I will have it fixed and can test my formula for accuracy. Below are my ranking of every Major Conf team, Top Mid Majors, at least one team from the little confs, and the worst teams in CBBall. I also included my conf ranking sand the BE team rankings. You will see teams like Utah St high due to the bias I mentioned above. But I think looking just at the Major Conf teams it could be a good indicator (see 2nd list).

Rank	Team	KOR
1	Uconn	0.9997
2	Memphis	0.9506
3	Pitt	0.9326
4	Oklahoma	0.9297
5	Duke	0.9179
6	UNC	0.9156
7	Utah St	0.8953
8	Butler	0.8905
9	MSU	0.8823
10	Nova	0.8667
11	Louisville	0.8602
12	KU	0.8543
13	Xavier	0.8466
14	Dayton	0.8455
15	Wake	0.8372
16	Utah	0.8335
17	Siena	0.8317
18	LSU	0.8298
19	Purdue	0.8297
20	BYU	0.8277
21	Clemson	0.8251
22	Marquette	0.8236
23	Gonzaga	0.8195
24	FSU	0.8144
25	Wash	0.8133
26	St Marys	0.8104
27	Creighton	0.8087
28	Niagra	0.8085
29	Illinois	0.8058
30	Davidson	0.7927
31	Missou	0.7903
32	Cal	0.7866
33	WV	0.7774
34	ND St	0.7744
35	UCLA	0.7727
36	Illinois St	0.7692
37	WKU	0.7689
38	UAB	0.7675
39	RI	0.7649
40	ASU	0.7642
41	American	0.7626
42	SU	0.7599
43	Tenn	0.7569
44	VCU	0.7564
45	George Mason	0.7497
46	Okie St	0.7472
47	Vermont	0.7419
48	Minn	0.7418
49	BC	0.7379
50	Texas	0.7348
51	Tulsa	0.7282
52	A&M	0.7260
53	SD St	0.7209
54	So Car	0.7207
55	UNLV	0.7172
56	OSU	0.7071
57	Temple	0.7041
58	Stephen F Austin	0.7006
59	Wisc	0.6996
60	Weber St	0.6962
61	Miami	0.6851
62	Zona	0.6818
63	Maryland	0.6815
64	PSU	0.6766
65	Tenn Martin	0.6735
66	UK	0.6688
67	Buffalo	0.6683
68	K St	0.6668
69	Cincy	0.6658
70	Robert Morris	0.6621
71	NM	0.6604
72	Mich	0.6577
73	Belmont	0.6559
74	VT	0.6525
75	Florida	0.6480
76	Georgetown	0.6467
77	Houston	0.6431
78	Nebraska	0.6386
79	Cornell	0.6352
80	USC	0.6349
81	Providence	0.6315
82	NW	0.6247
83	Baylor	0.6246
84	Auburn	0.6242
85	Liberty	0.6180
86	Morgan St	0.6167
87	ND	0.6058
88	Ole Miss	0.6057
89	Bama St	0.6009
90	NC St	0.5953
91	Vandy	0.5783
92	WSU	0.5752
93	Miss St	0.5707
94	Pacific	0.5659
95	Stanford	0.5630
96	Ark	0.5594
97	Seton Hall	0.5415
98	Iowa	0.5297
99	Bama	0.5149
100	St Johns	0.5125
101	ISU	0.5115
102	UVA	0.5035
103	Oregon St	0.4617
104	TT	0.4498
105	GT	0.4398
106	UGA	0.3958
107	USF	0.3861
108	Rutgers	0.3839
109	Oregon	0.3550
110	Colorado	0.3326
111	Depaul	0.3252
112	Indiana	0.2814
113	MD Eastern Shore	0.2577
114	Grambling	0.2369
115	NC Central	0.1464
116	Alcorn St	0.1403
117	Sac St	0.1042
118	NJIT	0.0002

Rank	Team	KOR	Conf
1	Uconn	0.9997	BE
2	Pitt	0.9326	BE
3	Oklahoma	0.9297	B12
4	Duke	0.9179	ACC
5	UNC	0.9156	ACC
6	MSU	0.8823	B11
7	Nova	0.8667	BE
8	Louisville	0.8602	BE
9	KU	0.8543	B12
10	Wake	0.8372	ACC
11	LSU	0.8298	SEC
12	Purdue	0.8297	B11
13	Clemson	0.8251	ACC
14	Marquette	0.8236	BE
15	FSU	0.8144	ACC
16	Wash	0.8133	P10
17	Illinois	0.8058	B11
18	Missou	0.7903	B12
19	Cal	0.7866	P10
20	WV	0.7774	BE
21	UCLA	0.7727	P10
22	ASU	0.7642	P10
23	SU	0.7599	BE
24	Tenn	0.7569	SEC
25	Okie St	0.7472	B12
26	Minn	0.7418	B11
27	BC	0.7379	ACC
28	Texas	0.7348	B12
29	A&M	0.7260	B12
30	So Car	0.7207	SEC
31	OSU	0.7071	B11
32	Wisc	0.6996	B11
33	Miami	0.6851	ACC
34	Zona	0.6818	P10
35	Maryland	0.6815	ACC
36	PSU	0.6766	B11
37	UK	0.6688	SEC
38	K St	0.6668	B12
39	Cincy	0.6658	BE
40	Mich	0.6577	B11
41	VT	0.6525	ACC
42	Florida	0.6480	SEC
43	Georgetown	0.6467	BE
44	Nebraska	0.6386	B12
45	USC	0.6349	P10
46	Providence	0.6315	BE
47	NW	0.6247	B11
48	Baylor	0.6246	B12
49	Auburn	0.6242	SEC
50	ND	0.6058	BE
51	Ole Miss	0.6057	SEC
52	NC St	0.5953	ACC
53	Vandy	0.5783	SEC
54	WSU	0.5752	P10
55	Miss St	0.5707	SEC
56	Stanford	0.5630	P10
57	Ark	0.5594	SEC
58	Seton Hall	0.5415	BE
59	Iowa	0.5297	B11
60	Bama	0.5149	SEC
61	St Johns	0.5125	BE
62	ISU	0.5115	B12
63	UVA	0.5035	ACC
64	Oregon St	0.4617	P10
65	TT	0.4498	B12
66	GT	0.4398	ACC
67	UGA	0.3958	SEC
68	USF	0.3861	BE
69	Rutgers	0.3839	BE
70	Oregon	0.3550	P10
71	Colorado	0.3326	B12
72	Depaul	0.3252	BE
73	Indiana	0.2814	B11

Conf	Rank
ACC	0.7171
B11	0.6760
BE	0.6699
B12	0.6672
P10	0.6408
SEC	0.6228

Team	KOR
Uconn	0.9997
Pitt	0.9326
Nova	0.8667
Louisville	0.8602
Marquette	0.8236
WV	0.7774
SU	0.7599
Cincy	0.6658
Georgetown	0.6467
Providence	0.6315
ND	0.6058
Seton Hall	0.5415
St Johns	0.5125
USF	0.3861
Rutgers	0.3839
Depaul	0.3252