Thursday, January 29, 2009

KOR Value

The RPI is a bunch of BS. It is more important to play on the road or lose to a good team than it is to win friggin games. So I set out to make my own computer rankings (KOR- King Otto Ranking). I got this idea last year and was going to do it from the start of the season. That way I would keep up with the data and it wouldnt be too hard to maintain. Unfortunately I didnt remember this until 2 weeks ago. So I was not able to catch up with every team but was able to do the 6 major confs. To truely test my formula (which takes into account your Ws, Ls, Home, Road, and SOS) I need to use every team for validity. But for now I give you what I have from the 6 major confs:


Rank Team KOR
1 Oklahoma 0.9986
2 Uconn 0.9826
3 Pitt 0.8976
4 UNC 0.8920
5 Duke 0.8782
6 Wake 0.8740
7 Marquette 0.8686
8 Clemson 0.8101
9 MSU 0.7908
10 Nova 0.7752
11 Louisville 0.7708
12 Cal 0.7661
13 Minn 0.7327
14 ASU 0.7207
15 Purdue 0.7076
16 SU 0.6912
17 FSU 0.6861
18 Texas 0.6780
19 WV 0.6713
20 Illinois 0.6595
21 Wash 0.6407
22 KU 0.6322
23 BC 0.6237
24 VT 0.6087
25 LSU 0.6056
26 OSU 0.5945
27 Miami 0.5904
28 Baylor 0.5899
29 Florida 0.5858
30 UK 0.5724
31 Missou 0.5656
32 UCLA 0.5649
33 So Car 0.5554
34 Wisc 0.5481
35 Okie St 0.5458
36 Cincy 0.5339
37 NW 0.5335
38 Tenn 0.5271
39 A&M 0.5152
40 Georgetown 0.5117
41 PSU 0.5073
42 Providence 0.5044
43 Stanford 0.4816
44 Miss St 0.4702
45 Ark 0.4658
46 Mich 0.4578
47 USC 0.4512
48 NC St 0.4361
49 K St 0.4088
50 Zona 0.4051
51 Iowa 0.4029
52 Nebraska 0.3780
53 Ole Miss 0.3747
54 ND 0.3670
55 Auburn 0.3544
56 Maryland 0.3438
57 Vandy 0.3295
58 ISU 0.3142
59 WSU 0.3110
60 St Johns 0.3028
61 TT 0.2908
62 UVA 0.2793
63 Bama 0.2119
64 Seton Hall 0.2115
65 GT 0.2068
66 Rutgers 0.1767
67 Oregon St 0.1541
68 USF 0.1264
69 Oregon 0.0935
70 UGA 0.0666
71 Depaul 0.0607
72 Colorado 0.0545
73 Indiana 0.0125

Looking at the above so far so good. The rankings by conf are:

ACC .6024
B11 .5407
BE .5283
B12 .4976
P10 .4589
SEC .4266

This is a bit of a surprise as the BE is third. I think the BE is the hardest conf but the bottom of the conf is awful. Depaul, USF, RU, Seton Hall, and St Johns pull the BE down.

4 comments:

Aaron said...

Are you going to reveal your formula?

KingOttoIII said...

No it is top secret. I dont want anyone stealing it. The KOR will be mainstream one day.

Aaron said...

But you have a legitimate computer formula you use? These aren't just made up numbers?

How often will you update rankings?

KingOttoIII said...

I have a formula. The problem is I have to manually update Ws, Ls, Home, Away for every game. I have a Spreadsheet with my formula. So all I have to do is input data. I started the data input 2.5 weeks ago. It took me that long to do the roughly 75 major conf teams. I still have roughly 275 teams to go. So maybe I will be completely done by Selection Sunday. The problem is entering back data from the beginning of the season until now. Had I started day one and updated every other day it would be easy.

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