Thursday, September 3, 2009

Game by Game Prediction

Week 1 vs Minn
Why we win- the team and crowd will be pumped for the first game in the Doug Marrone era. Also Minn will have no idea what to expect from us.
Why we lose- they are a more talented team. And we need time to adjust to new systems.
Score 38-24 Minn
Record 0-1

Week 2 at PSU
Why we win- State Penn thinks the game is another week and doesnt show up
Why we lose- hostel road game against a vastly superior team
Score 41-10 PSU
Record 0-2

Week 3 vs NW
Why we win- we gave them a close game last year and NW lost a lot of skill position players. Their QB is more of a runner than a thrower. If Shafer's system can cause havoc to the Spread, we will have a shot.
Why we lose- they are the better team
Score 31-28 SU
Record 1-2

Week 4 vs Maine
Why we win- they are a 1AA team
Why we lose- we would have to be 0-3 and the new system would have to have a long learning curve
Score 42-20 SU
Record 2-2

Week 5 vs USF
Why we win- they are coming off a game @FSU, so it could be a let down. SU could be coming off back to back Ws, so we could have momentum. But Shafer would have to be able to stop the Spread.
Why we lose- they have more talent and speed. Have been a bad matchup for SU. Grothe and Selvie have killed SU.
Score 35-27 USF
Record 2-3

Week 6 vs WV
Why we win- again depends on Shafer vs Spread. Last year we gave them a very close game in Morgantown. If we have at least 2 Ws by this point, we could get a good crowd.
Why we lose- they are better and more talented.
Score 24-21 WV
Record 2-4

Week 8 vs Akron
Why we win- two weeks to prepare for a MAC team
Why we lose- could be rusty after bye. If we have only 1 W or zero Ws, confidence will be low.
Score 34-17 SU
Record 3-4

Week 9 vs Cincy
Why we win- they lost their whole D so if Shafer can slow them down, we can outscore them
Why we lose- despite the losses on D they should still be a bit better than SU
Score 37-31 SU
Record 4-4

Week 10 at Pitt
Why we win- depending on our record we could have confidence. Wanny always gives you a chance. They have no QB.
Why we lose- road game against the most talented team in the BE.
Score 27-14 Pitt
Record 4-5

Week 11 at UL
Why we win- we will have confidence having beaten them 2 years in a row. By this point UL may have given up on the season and Kragthorpe.
Why we lose- road game
Score 28-13 SU
Record 5-5

Week 12 vs RU
Why we win- they have no skill players. Shady is a poor game coach. The coaches, team, and fans will want this game for recruiting purposes.
Why we lose- for now they are better.
Score 20-16 SU
Record 6-5

Week 13 at UConn
Why we win- they lost a lot of talent. This game could be for a Bowl bid.
Why we lose- late November game on the road, against a rival. Let down from week before.
Score 21-17 UConn
Record 6-6


So that is the King's prediction for this season. SU will go 6-6 overall and 3-4 in the Big East. We will avg 25.4 ppg and give up 25.9 ppg. And a Bowl will pick up SU because of the Paulus hype factor. IMO baring major injuries anything less than 4-8 (1-6) is unacceptable.

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